Exports declined 14.8% in July to $22.4 billion, the sharpest contraction in three years, in the wake of falling demand from Europe and the US.
With imports too declining by almost 8% during July, the slowdown in the domestic industry seems to be pronounced as companies seem to be importing less raw material and capital goods for production. Industrial output fell nearly 2% in June and there are little signs of demand having picked up.
But, given the faster pace of decline in exports, trade deficit, which is already a worry, expanded from $14.8 billion in July 2011 to $15.5 billion this July. A weaker rupee should spur exports and imports would be discouraged as shipments into the country would get more expensive.
Recession just seems round the corner. Wondering whom would hit the most? IT sector, Banking sector or manufacturing..
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