Skymet Weather Services, a private weather forecaster, has predicted normal rains during the June-September monsoon season, offering welcome news to a country where 60% of the farmland is rain-fed and a drought could seriously hurt the efforts to put the economy back on track.
The forecast from the government's India Meteorological Department is expected in the last week of April. Authorities use IMD's prediction to decide on their preparations to tackle situations such as drought and floods.
Skymet expects a few dry patches in parts of northwest, central and south India but on the whole it is optimistic of normal rains in 2015.“The monsoon rainfall might be 102% of long-period average for the period June to September,“ said CEO Jatin Singh. Average rainfall would be 89 cm.
The long-term average is the average rainfall for the past 50 years. A deviation of up to 4% on both sides is considered normal. Anything beyond 10% is excess rainfall, or drought. Skymet has forecast the probability of below-normal rainfall to be 4%, deficit at 2% and normal, above normal and excess rainfall at 94%. Some pockets of Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and parts of the Northeast may face a shortfall.
The forecast from the government's India Meteorological Department is expected in the last week of April. Authorities use IMD's prediction to decide on their preparations to tackle situations such as drought and floods.
Skymet expects a few dry patches in parts of northwest, central and south India but on the whole it is optimistic of normal rains in 2015.“The monsoon rainfall might be 102% of long-period average for the period June to September,“ said CEO Jatin Singh. Average rainfall would be 89 cm.
The long-term average is the average rainfall for the past 50 years. A deviation of up to 4% on both sides is considered normal. Anything beyond 10% is excess rainfall, or drought. Skymet has forecast the probability of below-normal rainfall to be 4%, deficit at 2% and normal, above normal and excess rainfall at 94%. Some pockets of Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and parts of the Northeast may face a shortfall.
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