The government’s demonetization move is likely to affect India’s growth in the short term as the informal sector, supported primarily through cash transactions, would slow down, cautioned a report by Deutsche Bank. India remains one of the most cash-intensive economies in the world, with currency/GDP at 12.2%, higher than Brazil, Mexico and South Africa, it said. The underlying growth momentum in manufacturing, trade, construction and transportation is already weak. These sectors constitute 73% of total informal employment in the economy and the demonetization move may see their growth slow further in the short term.
15.11.16
Cash is King
The government’s demonetization move is likely to affect India’s growth in the short term as the informal sector, supported primarily through cash transactions, would slow down, cautioned a report by Deutsche Bank. India remains one of the most cash-intensive economies in the world, with currency/GDP at 12.2%, higher than Brazil, Mexico and South Africa, it said. The underlying growth momentum in manufacturing, trade, construction and transportation is already weak. These sectors constitute 73% of total informal employment in the economy and the demonetization move may see their growth slow further in the short term.
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